312: $82B in 90 Days: How Small Businesses Can Win Before Q1 Ends
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About this listen
In this episode, Eric Coffie breaks down a massive Q1 opportunity: the government has roughly 90 days to obligate $82.8B in unobligated DoD funds—or risk losing budget authority. Eric shares how he triangulated data across sources (including NDAA legislation, Treasury Fiscal Data, CBO, and unobligated balance reporting) and explains what "unobligated" really means: authorized money that hasn't been committed to contracts yet—creating a high-pressure spend window from January through March.
Eric also explains why this is a "perfect storm" for small businesses: higher sole-source thresholds (non-manufacturing up to $8M, manufacturing up to $10M), relentless small business goal pressure, and a huge recompete marketplace where long-term vehicles can lock up spend for 5–10+ years. He closes with actionable next steps (buyers lists, low-competition hit lists, NDAA cheat sheets, agency pain points, and recompete trackers) so contractors can stop reacting late—and start positioning early.
Key Takeaways:-
Q1 is a use-it-or-lose-it spend window—position now, not when the bid drops
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Most money is tied to task orders/IDIQs + sole source, not just SAM "open bids"
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Track recompetes + agency pain points to negotiate and partner before teams are picked
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