Hawaii Housing Report: Honolulu & Oʻahu Annual Review and 2026 Market Predictions

In this special annual edition of the Hawaii Housing Report, we take a deep, data-driven look back at Honolulu and Oʻahu’s real estate market in 2025 and deliver forward-looking predictions for 2026.

Hosted by Patrick O’Neill, Principal Broker and CEO of Luxury Homes International, this episode features expert insight from Hawaii economist Paul Brewbaker and mortgage industry veteran Anders Hostelley. Together, they analyze the economic forces, housing trends, and financing dynamics shaping the Oʻahu market as we move into the new year.

The Hawaii Housing Report is ranked in the Top 30 Hawaii News Podcasts by FeedSpot and is a trusted source for clear, candid discussions on Hawaii real estate and economic conditions.

This episode is focused exclusively on the Honolulu and Oʻahu housing market, with detailed discussion across single-family homes, condominiums, luxury properties, and urban core versus suburban performance. Topics include median price trends, inventory levels, months of supply, interest rate outlook, affordability challenges, condominium insurance pressures, and buyer and seller behavior heading into 2026.

Whether you are a homeowner, buyer, seller, investor, developer, or real estate professional, this conversation provides practical insight grounded in real data and local expertise, not headlines or speculation.

Key discussion points include:
• What 2025 revealed about buyer and seller behavior on Oʻahu
• Which market segments are showing resilience and which remain under pressure
• Mortgage rate trends and financing considerations for 2026
• Condominium market risks, insurance issues, and emerging opportunities
• Luxury and high-end urban market activity in Honolulu
• Strategic considerations for buyers, sellers, and investors planning for the year ahead

Covering the core markets of Honolulu and Oʻahu, the Hawaii Housing Report delivers expert perspective, local market intelligence, and economic clarity for anyone tracking Hawaii real estate.

Subscribe on Spotify for ongoing market updates, expert interviews, and in-depth analysis of Honolulu and Oʻahu real estate trends.

Luxury Homes International RB-18777

Hawaii Housing Report

Welcome to the November Hawaii Housing Report, your monthly deep dive into Hawaii real estate trends, mortgage rates, home prices, and market conditions across Oahu, Maui, Kauai, and the Big Island. Hosted by Patrick O’Neill, Principal Broker of Luxury Homes International, with expert economic analysis from Dr. Paul Brewbaker of TZ Economics, this episode delivers timely insight for buyers, sellers, investors, and Hawaii real estate professionals.

In this month’s report, we break down the latest market data and explain what it means for Hawaii’s housing market heading into the end of 2025. We cover:

• Oahu single-family home trends: inventory levels, median price direction, and buyer demand

• Honolulu condo market update: why condo prices remain flat and how insurance, deferred maintenance, and aging buildings are shaping valuations

• Mortgage rate movement: the 30-year fixed rate, inflation expectations, and where jumbo financing is headed

• Market dynamics across the islands: Maui rebuilding pathways, Big Island development outlook, and Kauai ownership trends

• Seasonality factors and what to expect during the winter buying cycle

• The impact of construction costs, supply constraints, and migration patterns on long-term price stability

Dr. Brewbaker offers his trademark big-picture perspective on the Hawaii economy, including inflation, jobs, tourism recovery, household formation, and how global macro trends influence local real estate. Patrick O’Neill adds boots-on-the-ground insight from the Honolulu market, including what sellers are experiencing, where buyers are focused, and how inventory shifts are affecting negotiations.

Whether you’re a homeowner, future buyer, investor, or a real estate agent, this episode provides clear, data-driven analysis to help you understand where the Hawaii housing market is headed.

🎧 Tune in to learn:
• Will mortgage rates fall again?
• Why condo inventory is rising while prices remain flat
• Why single-family home prices continue to show resilience
• What macro-economic forces are shaping Hawaii real estate in 2025
• How international buyers and inter-island migration patterns are influencing demand
• What opportunities may open in early 2026

Patrick W ONeill R Principal Broker

Luxury Homes International | RB-18777

Hawaii Housing Report
Recorded September 25, 2025
Hosts: Economist Paul Brewbaker (TZ Economics) & Patrick W. O’Neill R (Principal Broker, Luxury Homes International & ONEILL Group Commercial Services)
Guest: Anders Hostelley, Regional Manager, Guaranteed Rate Mortgage

The September 2025 Hawaii Housing Report delivers an in-depth look at Hawaii’s evolving real estate landscape — from home prices and sales trends to mortgage rates and economic forecasts. Economist Paul Brewbaker, broker Patrick O’Neill, and mortgage expert Anders Hostelley share timely insights into what’s driving Hawaii’s housing market and where it’s heading next.

Whether you’re a buyer, seller, investor, or Realtor®, this episode helps you understand the numbers that shape Hawaii’s housing economy.

Paul Brewbaker breaks down Honolulu’s latest data on median home prices, months of inventory, and sales volume. Despite higher mortgage rates, limited supply continues to support stable pricing across much of Oahu, highlighting the market’s long-term resilience.

Condo sales remain mixed in 2025. Patrick O’Neill reviews activity across Kaka‘ako, Ala Moana, and Waikiki, noting that rising maintenance fees, insurance costs, and lender scrutiny are influencing both buyer sentiment and financing timelines.

Guest expert Anders Hostelley of Guaranteed Rate Mortgage discusses how rate movements are affecting affordability, refinancing, and qualification power. He connects Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, and Hawaii’s lending landscape—and shares his projections for late 2025 and early 2026.

Economist Paul Brewbaker of TZ Economics links Hawaii’s housing trends to national economic forces. He explores potential interest rate cuts, migration shifts, and supply constraints—and how each may affect home prices and overall market balance heading into 2026.

• Home prices remain steady despite elevated borrowing costs.

• Condo demand is cooling amid higher fees and insurance premiums.

• Rate volatility challenges affordability but creates refinance windows.

• Tight inventory continues to support long-term price stability.

• Hawaii’s market is gradually rebalancing yet remains undersupplied.

Luxury Homes International – Leading Hawaii brokerage specializing in luxury residential and investment properties across Oahu, Maui, Kauai, and the Big Island.
ONEILL Group Commercial Services – Hawaii’s trusted name in commercial real estate sales, leasing, and development advisory.
TZ Economics – Economic research and forecasting from economist Paul H. Brewbaker, Ph.D.
Guaranteed Rate Mortgage – Providing expert insight on mortgage lending, financing trends, and rate projections in Hawaii.

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🌺 Overview🏠 Oahu Single-Family Homes🏢 Condominium Sales Trends📈 Interest Rates & Mortgage Impact💰 Market Projections & Economic Forecast