Today's episode unpacks the growing disconnect between market narratives and underlying fundamentals, particularly in the AI sector and private credit. Maya and Alex explore how inflated valuations, geopolitical risks, and a potential Fed policy shift could converge to trigger a significant market correction, demanding a more discerning approach to investment. 0:00 - Introduction 1:00 - AI & Tech Sector Disruption 5:02 - Political & Regulatory Landscape 9:05 - Federal Reserve Policy & Economic Outlook 12:04 - Private Credit & Alternative Investments 15:04 - Market Sentiment & Valuation Bubbles 18:03 - European Credit & Restructuring 20:03 - Geopolitical Risk & Commodity Markets 22:03 - Conclusion Referenced podcasts (for further listening): - "Global Commodities A week of commodity whiplash" (At Any Rate) - "Jonathan Lewinsohn – Credit Microcycles at Diameter (EP.484)" (Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry) - "Jonathan Lewinsohn – Diameter Capital Partners (Manager Meetings, EP.05)" (Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry) - "What would Kevin Warsh’s Federal Reserve look like" (FT News Briefing) - "394 Dividend strategy avoiding traps and tapping income potential" (L&G Talks Asset Management) - "Is the Age of Reckless Lending Coming To An End Oaktree’s Raghav Khanna on Private Credit, Software, and How Oaktree Correctly Saw First Brands' Red Flags" (Monetary Matters with Jack Farley) - "Trump’s Hidden Mortgage Stimulus from Fannie & Freddie Joseph Wang on GSEs, Kevin Warsh, Powell, and Dollar Hedging" (Monetary Matters with Jack Farley) - "The Federal Reserve – New Leadership, Same Landscape" (Notes on the Week Ahead) - "The Utilities Analyst Who Says the Data Center Demand Story Doesn't Add Up" (Odd Lots) - "SI385 When Volatility Becomes the Signal ft. Katy Kaminski" (Top Traders Unplugged) This episode is independent commentary and is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by the podcasts listed above.
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30 mins