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Investing Through Divergence in Rates, Earnings, and Global Risks

Investing Through Divergence in Rates, Earnings, and Global Risks

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This week’s discussion focuses on a market that continues to advance despite crosscurrents in geopolitics, inflation, and monetary policy. The team reviews steady gains in equities, resilient labor data, and improving productivity, offset by persistent inflation uncertainty tied to energy prices and global tensions. Panelists outline why the Federal Reserve remains on hold amid internal disagreement and shifting leadership expectations, while bond markets emphasize carry over duration risk. In equities, earnings momentum and AI related themes are broadening beyond traditional leaders, creating both opportunity and valuation risk. The conversation closes with a look at tariffs and trade policy, which remain a source of uncertainty but appear less market moving than earlier in the year.

Speakers:

Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment Strategy

George Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer

Rajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed Income

Sam Snyder, Director of Equity Research

01:30 — Weekly market overview and key economic releases

04:19 — Iran geopolitical developments and oil price implications

07:17 — Fed policy outlook, inflation risks, and rate expectations

13:06 — Equity market performance, AI themes, and market breadth

17:13 — Tariffs, trade policy, and near‑term market relevance

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