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JPMorgan Chase Q4 2025 Earnings Analysis

JPMorgan Chase Q4 2025 Earnings Analysis

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 **BETA FINCH PODCAST SCRIPT**

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**ALEX**: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown. I'm Alex, and I'm here with my co-host Jordan to dive into JPMorgan Chase's Q4 2025 earnings call. Jordan, this was quite the eventful call - Jamie Dimon and Jeremy Barnum had a lot to unpack.

**JORDAN**: They sure did, Alex. But before we dive in, I need to mention something important. This podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

**ALEX**: Absolutely crucial reminder, Jordan. Now, let's talk numbers. JPMorgan reported some solid Q4 results - net income of $13 billion, EPS of $4.63, and an 18% return on tangible common equity. Revenue came in at $46.8 billion, up 7% year-over-year. What caught your eye first?

**JORDAN**: What jumped out immediately was that $2.2 billion reserve build related to the Apple Card acquisition. That's a massive number that shows JPMorgan is serious about this partnership. Strip that out, and the underlying business performance looks even stronger. The Consumer and Community Banking division would have shown $5.3 billion in net income without that reserve hit.

**ALEX**: The Apple Card deal is fascinating. Jeremy Barnum called it a "win-win-win" for all three parties - JPMorgan, Apple, and Goldman Sachs, who's exiting the business. But Jordan, what really struck me was the timeline - they're saying it'll take two full years to integrate this portfolio. Why so long?

**JORDAN**: That's the really interesting technical aspect here. Jamie Dimon explained that Apple built a completely different tech stack integrated into iOS - it's not just a traditional credit card they can quickly fold into their existing systems. They literally have to rebuild Apple's technology architecture within JPMorgan's infrastructure. It's going to cost significant money, but Dimon seemed genuinely excited about what they'll learn from Apple's customer service standards and user experience approach.

**ALEX**: Speaking of big numbers, let's talk about that $9 billion expense increase guidance for 2026. Total adjusted expenses are expected to hit $105 billion. Mike Mayo from Wells Fargo really pressed them on this during the Q&A, and Jamie Dimon's response was pretty telling.

**JORDAN**: Dimon was almost defiant about it, in a good way. He essentially said "we see huge opportunities, and we're not going to try to meet some expense target and then ten years from now have you asking us how JPMorgan got left behind." They're investing in rural branches, international expansion, better payment systems, AI across the company, and what Dimon called their "SRI initiative" which could be far bigger than expected.

**ALEX**: The guidance for 2026 shows they're expecting net interest income excluding markets of around $95 billion, with total NII at $103 billion. They're also projecting a card net charge-off rate of approximately 3.4%. But Jordan, there was this elephant in the room that dominated much of the Q&A...

**JORDAN**: You're talking about the credit card interest rate cap proposal. This came up right after President Trump's social media post about potentially capping credit card APRs. The timing was incredible - literally happening as earnings calls were taking place across the banking sector.

**ALEX**: Jeremy Barnum and Jamie Dimon were pretty direct about this. Barnum said if price controls are imposed, "people will lose access to credit on a very, very extensive and broad basis, especially the people who need it the most." Dimon added that it would be "very dramatic" and force them to adjust their entire business model.

**JORDAN**: What's important for listeners to understand is that the credit card business is already extremely competitive. When you impose price controls on a competitive market, companies don'

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