Midas Touch Consulting Managing Director Florian Grummes says gold’s bull market is being driven by physical demand, led by China, central banks, and even Tether. Speaking with Kitco Mining at Mining Forum Americas 2025, he said, “The price is not really being made at the COMEX anymore and at the LBMA in England, but it is in Dubai, in Shanghai, and in Mumbai.” He added that five and a half decades of paper-based price discovery are now unwinding after years, during which up to 200 paper ounces traded against one physical ounce.
Grummes pointed to money printing and a global bear market in bonds as major drivers pushing institutions into gold, arguing the market, not the Fed, tells policymakers what to do. He said, “We are in a nicely established new uptrend in gold since the third week of August.” Near-term targets are US$3,750, US$4,000, and US$4,300–4,400, with potential toward US$5,000 and even five-digit gold in the long run if money creation accelerates.
Silver has broken above US$40, moving toward US$42–43 per ounce in recent weeks. Grummes called it undervalued, supported by Asian demand, the solar industry, and central bank buying, noting the gold-silver ratio remains far above historic bull market levels. Mining stocks have surged, with majors up over 100% and developers 200–400%, but ETF outflows continue despite higher prices. He expects pullbacks into Q4, with Golden Week in China and seasonal weakness creating buying opportunities before the bull market accelerates again in 2026.
Grummes wraps but with his advice, to hold physical gold and silver, trim positions into strength, and “buy the dips” in what he sees as a secular bull market.
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