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Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Written by: Bilal Hafeez
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We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.Macro Hive 2020 Economics Personal Finance
Episodes
  • Ep. 342: Rory Johnston on Trump's Bullish Impact on Oil Markets, and the Bearish Risks Ahead
    Jan 23 2026

    Rory Johnston is a Toronto-based oil market researcher, the founder of Commodity Context, a lecturer at the University of Toronto's Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, as well as a Fellow with both the Canadian Global Affairs Institute and the Payne Institute for Public Policy at the Colorado School of Mines. Prior to founding Commodity Context, Rory led commodity economics research at Scotiabank. In this podcast, we discuss:

    • Trump's Bullish Paradox
    • Importance of China's SPR
    • Why OPEC+ Hiked Production
    • The "Oil on Water" Overhang
    • Venezuela and Iran
    • 2026 Outlook
    • US Shale's H2 Roll-over
    • Long term demand outlook
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    1 hr and 7 mins
  • Ep. 341: Phil Suttle on Trump's Populism, the Productivity Mystery, and Global Disruption
    Jan 16 2026

    Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US. In the podcast, we talk about:

    • US Labour Market Dissonance
    • Trump's "Elizabeth Warren" Populism
    • The Productivity Mystery
    • Fed Under Pressure
    • Sticky Inflation Through 2027
    • Global Business Disruptions
    • Extreme Oil Volatility
    • Japan's Policy Pivot
    • China's Sluggish Consumer
    • European and UK Growth
    • Historical Parallels to Populism
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    45 mins
  • Ep. 340: Robert Koenigsberger on EM Cycles, China's Turnaround, and the New Era of Private Credit
    Jan 7 2026

    Robert is Founder, Chief Investment Officer and the Managing Partner of the $5bn EM fund, Gramercy. He founded Gramercy in 1998. Robert has 36 years of investment experience dedicated to emerging markets with a specialization in distressed opportunistic credit strategies. He is a member of Gramercy's Management Team and is Co-Chair of the Risk Management Committee. In this podcast we discuss:

    • EM in 2025: From Caution to FOMO
    • EM vs DM: A Role Reversal Since COVID
    • The Problem with EM Labels & Indices
    • China: From 'Uninvestable' to Selective Opportunity
    • Russia–Ukraine: Asymmetry, Reconstruction, and Market Blind Spots
    • The Boom in EM Private Credit
    • Where the Opportunities Are in EM Private Credit
    • Mexico, NAFTA 2.0, and Geopolitics
    • Venezuela and the 'Trump Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine'
    • Fed Policy: The Only Conviction Is Lack of Conviction
    • Portfolio Philosophy: Fighting FOMO and Overtrading
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    34 mins
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