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New Horizons Investment

New Horizons Investment

Written by: Odd Bird
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This podcast is designed to introduce new investors to investing.Odd Bird Economics Personal Finance
Episodes
  • The Quality Stack: A Comparative Investment Hierarchy
    Apr 20 2026

    This episode provides a comprehensive investment analysis of high-quality software and retail businesses, focusing on their long-term durability and current market sentiment. The podcast categorizes elite technology firms like Adobe and Salesforce as essential infrastructure, evaluating how artificial intelligence and shifting enterprise budgets impact their pricing power and growth potential. Beyond the software sector, the podcast examines companies like Airbnb and JD.com, distinguishing between temporary cyclical challenges and permanent structural decay. Each deep dive uses a rigorous framework to assess risk-adjusted returns, looking for mispriced assets where the business's fundamental quality exceeds the market's current narrative. This podcast serves as a strategic guide for identifying reliable compounders and asymmetric opportunities within a changing global economy.

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    53 mins
  • Intelligence as Energy Optimization: The Cost of Thinking
    Apr 18 2026

    This podcast explores a paradigm shift in artificial intelligence from raw computational power toward a biological model of metabolic efficiency. By implementing a "digital chemistry" layer, AI can move away from intensive brute-force processing and toward a system that utilizes internal states to regulate energy use. Key signals such as curiosity, fatigue, and uncertainty allow the software to dynamically allocate resources, choosing when to think deeply and when to conserve power. This architectural change introduces low-power cycles similar to sleep, enabling the system to optimize its memory and structure during downtime. The episode argues that the future of intelligence is defined by decision-making under limits, where the most successful systems are those that spend energy wisely rather than simply scaling upward.

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    27 mins
  • The Art of the Exit: A Systematic Selling Framework
    Apr 13 2026

    This podcast outlines a systematic selling framework modeled after the behaviors of elite "super investors" like Warren Buffett and Michael Burry. This strategy emphasizes scaling out of positions in layers rather than exiting all at once, moving through five distinct phases based on holding time and percentage gains. By establishing predetermined sell triggers, the framework helps investors remove emotional bias and protect capital as investment narratives mature. Key factors such as position size and conviction dictate the speed and method of execution, ensuring that significant profits are harvested methodically. The system serves as a disciplined operating manual to prevent investors from losing their gains during market volatility.

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    37 mins
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