The Underdog NFL Show turns to Regression or Reality with the Minnesota Vikings, Drake Maye, and Jared Goff, asking what is real and what is just a hot start. Chris Horwedel and Mario Hines also go game by game through the Week 6 NFL schedule and give their thoughts and predictions for each contest.

The episode then takes a brief detour to the movie Digger, starring Tom Cruise, as the hosts debate how satirical is too satirical. Along the way, listeners get a mix of NFL analysis, weekly picks, and a side conversation that pulls in both football and film.

It is a focused look at Week 6 NFL storylines, with the Minnesota Vikings, Drake Maye, and Jared Goff at the center of the regression-or-reality question. The discussion moves between matchups, predictions, and the kind of pop-culture detour that gives the conversation its shape.

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Chris Horwedel and Mario Hines open with Lane Johnson’s retirement, Cam Jurgens’ trade and the Eagles’ rapidly changing offense. “Regression or Reality” returns with 10 Week 4 trends, including Minnesota’s strange 4-0 start, Detroit’s defensive collapse and Brock Purdy’s surge. The second half previews the full Week 5 slate with injuries, quarterback questions and lines from oddsmakers. The show closes with a movie-sequel detour tied to Michael Penix Jr.

0:13 Eagles overhaul — Johnson retires, Jurgens is traded and the Hurts/Sirianni era comes into focus.

9:49 Sixers — Preseason optimism after a strong showing against New York.

10:34 Lions/Eagles outlook — Detroit’s defense and Philadelphia’s offensive struggles.

14:17 Vikings — 4-0 despite twice winning without a touchdown.

16:23 Drake Maye — Big Week 4 production versus a league-high turnover total.

18:12 Eagles offense — Third-down failures and historically low production.

20:15 Lions defense — Detroit’s numbers approach 2008 territory.

23:15 Jaguars — Can a takeaway-heavy defensive identity last?

25:08 Bears — Three wins with three different starting quarterbacks.

27:35 Winless teams — Tampa Bay, Chargers, Miami, Houston and Tennessee sit 0-4.

31:49 CeeDee Lamb — Dallas’ extraordinary target volume.

34:52 Brock Purdy — San Francisco’s unbeaten start and efficiency.

37:31 Jets — New York ends a 637-day interception drought.

39:40 Buccaneers-Cowboys — Baker Mayfield’s absence shapes Thursday night.

44:34 Eagles-Jaguars — Philadelphia’s depleted roster heads to London.

46:18 Bears-Packers — Chicago’s QB carousel meets Green Bay.

48:21 Bengals-Dolphins — Cincinnati, Miami and Joe Burrow’s future.

50:05 Browns-Jets — Two difficult teams to evaluate meet in New York.

51:38 Texans-Titans — Two 0-4 AFC South teams chase win No. 1.

52:36 Colts-Steelers — Indy visits Pittsburgh, plus Arch Manning talk.

55:29 Raiders-Patriots — Las Vegas meets Drake Maye and New England.

56:23 Vikings-Saints — Minnesota’s unusual formula faces New Orleans.

59:45 Broncos-Chargers — Denver visits winless Los Angeles.

1:00:34 Giants-Commanders — Washington’s QB uncertainty against New York.

1:05:09 Lions-Cardinals — Detroit’s offense meets Arizona.

1:06:01 49ers-Seahawks — NFC West contenders meet in Seattle.

1:07:14 Ravens-Falcons — Baltimore visits Atlanta Sunday night.

1:07:47 Bills-Rams — Buffalo and L.A. close Week 5 Monday night.

1:08:15 Movie sequels — Bad originals that produced much better follow-ups.

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Chris Horwedel and Mario Hines debut “Regression or Reality?”, examining 10 of the NFL’s strangest three-week trends before turning to the full Week 4 slate. They cover every matchup, major quarterback story, injuries, and the latest lines. The show closes with Sunday and Monday night games and a quick ticket-shopping detour.

0:13 Opening — Phillies-Braves distraction and the setup for a new recurring segment.

2:00 Vikings — Minnesota’s 3-0 start despite the NFL’s lowest-yardage offense.

5:06 49ers — Brock Purdy’s sack-free start and extreme passing efficiency.

6:35 Raiders — Kirk Cousins, a 3-0 start, and Vegas’ surprising offense.

8:58 Bills — Josh Allen’s historic rushing-touchdown pace.

10:15 Seahawks — Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s record-level receiving start.

12:09 Panthers — Bryce Young leads the NFL in passing yards.

13:23 Chiefs — Kenneth Walker’s impact on Kansas City and play action.

14:55 Texans — C.J. Stroud’s turnover-free start amid Houston’s 0-3 record.

16:56 Patriots — Drake Maye’s early turnover problems.

19:11 Colts — Indy’s defense swings from historically bad to dominant.

21:01 Steelers-Browns — AFC North uncertainty and Cleveland’s 2-1 start.

23:58 Colts-Commanders — Washington’s offense, Marcus Mariota and Indy’s defense.

25:18 Cardinals-Giants — Arizona’s messy start and J.J. McCarthy’s fit in New York.

27:23 Cowboys-Texans — The Battle of Texas and Houston’s winless opening.

28:21 Packers-Buccaneers — Green Bay, Tampa’s QB situation and the matchup.

29:10 Jaguars-Bengals — Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville’s identity and Cincinnati.

31:17 Rams-Eagles — Philadelphia’s defensive issues and Puka Nacua’s status.

33:14 Patriots-Bills — Drake Maye, Buffalo and several passing props from oddsmakers.

35:48 Jets-Bears — Case Keenum, Ben Johnson and Chicago without Caleb Williams.

37:55 Titans-Ravens — Cam Ward’s start, Baltimore and young-QB development.

40:24 Dolphins-Vikings — Minnesota’s defense against Miami and Malik Willis.

41:17 Broncos-49ers — Denver’s strange winning formula and San Francisco.

42:56 Chiefs-Raiders — Kansas City visits unbeaten Las Vegas.

44:04 Chargers-Seahawks — Seattle’s matchup with Los Angeles.

44:33 Lions-Panthers — Sunday night, Carolina’s injuries and Detroit’s offense.

46:03 Falcons-Saints — NFC South matchup on Monday night.

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The Underdog NFL Show previews the full NFL Week 3 slate as Chris Horwedel and Mario Hines work through every matchup, major injuries and several early-season questions. Jaxson Dart’s season-ending knee injury, Detroit’s defense, and Philadelphia’s offensive-line problems are major themes. The episode also touches on Zach Ertz, MLB labor, and Justin Verlander before closing with Eagles-Bears.

0:13 Opening: Week 2 takeaways, Carolina’s surprising start and the NFL injury picture.

2:06 Giants/Jaxson Dart: season-ending knee surgery, Jameis Winston, New York’s offense and defensive injuries.

8:48 Lions: Detroit’s depleted secondary, Avonte Maddox and concerns about the defense.

11:22 Zach Ertz and MLB: Ertz’s return to Philadelphia, baseball labor concerns and Justin Verlander’s farewell.

16:04 Falcons-Packers: Michael Penix Jr.’s return, Green Bay’s run game and offensive-line issues.

18:21 Panthers-Browns: Carolina’s momentum, Deshaun Watson, Denzel Boston and Cleveland’s offense.

22:15 Bengals-Steelers: Joe Burrow, Cincinnati’s start and Pittsburgh’s problems with Aaron Rodgers.

23:08 NFL scoring: how the extremely rare one-point safety can happen.

26:03 Texans-Colts: C.J. Stroud, Houston’s receivers, Nico Collins and Indianapolis’ offense.

30:03 Chiefs-Dolphins: Kansas City with Kenneth Walker III and Miami’s struggles.

31:07 Chargers-Bills: Justin Herbert, Buffalo’s offense and Los Angeles’ difficult start.

33:17 Patriots-Jaguars: Drake Maye, Jacksonville’s offense and an AFC measuring-stick game.

34:43 Jets-Lions: the Aaron Glenn reunion, Detroit’s offense and questions about both defenses.

37:57 Seahawks-Commanders: Jayden Daniels’ elbow injury, Washington’s outlook and Seattle’s form.

41:13 Titans-Giants: Cam Ward, Jameis Winston and both offenses.

49:06 Cardinals-49ers: Arizona’s passing game, Trey McBride, San Francisco and Philadelphia roster needs.

53:33 Vikings-Buccaneers: Kyler Murray’s return and Minnesota’s quarterback situation.

54:42 Ravens-Cowboys: Baltimore’s offense, Dallas’ Week 2 showing and the matchup.

56:06 Raiders-Saints: Kirk Cousins, Tyler Shough, Brock Bowers and both offenses.

57:42 Rams-Broncos: Aaron Donald’s return, Denver’s injured backfield and both defenses.

59:56 Eagles-Bears: Caleb Williams’ hamstring, Chicago’s backup-QB situation and Philadelphia’s offensive line.

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The Underdog NFL Show returns for Week 2 with Chris Horwedel and Mario Hines working through the full NFL slate after a chaotic opening weekend. They revisit the biggest Week 1 takeaways, injuries, quarterback questions and offensive-line concerns while previewing every matchup. The episode closes with a look at several Week 2 specials.

0:13 Opening: Week 1 surprises and the challenge of getting through the full NFL slate.

2:19 Lions-Bills: Detroit’s secondary, Jahmyr Gibbs’ workload, Jameson Williams and Buffalo’s opener.

7:20 Panthers-Falcons: Atlanta’s quarterback issues, Bijan Robinson, Bryce Young and Carolina’s defense.

10:27 Bengals-Texans: Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, C.J. Stroud and Houston’s defense.

12:26 Browns-Buccaneers: Deshaun Watson, Cleveland’s offensive line, Quinshon Judkins and Baker Mayfield.

15:43 Packers-Jets: Green Bay’s Week 1 collapse, New York’s outlook and Tennessee’s long-term QB situation.

17:47 Vikings-Bears: Kyler Murray, Carson Wentz, Kevin O’Connell, Justin Jefferson and Chicago’s offense.

24:45 Saints-Ravens: Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry and New Orleans’ run defense.

26:38 Eagles-Titans: Philadelphia’s interior offensive line, Landon Dickerson, Saquon Barkley and Tennessee.

31:47 Steelers-Patriots: Drake Maye, New England’s depleted weapons and Pittsburgh’s outlook.

35:31 Jaguars-Broncos: Bo Nix, Denver’s offense, Jacksonville’s ceiling and the Drew Brees-Broncos story.

42:30 Raiders-Chargers: Justin Herbert, Mike McDaniel, the Chargers’ offense and Fernando Mendoza’s timeline.

50:29 Dolphins-49ers: Miami’s roster concerns, San Francisco’s Australia trip and the Rams’ Week 1 context.

52:56 Seahawks-Cardinals: Drew Lock, Seattle’s offense and Arizona’s early-season test.

54:09 Commanders-Cowboys: Dallas’ Week 1 issues, Washington’s defensive scheme and Jalen Hurts’ middle-field success.

56:23 Week 1 stats: passing, rushing, receiving, sacks and tackle leaders.

1:00:06 Colts-Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes, Kenneth Walker III, Daniel Jones and Kansas City’s outlook.

1:00:40 Giants-Rams: Jackson Dart, New York’s young core and Los Angeles’ reset after Australia.

1:01:17 Betting specials: Week 2 boosted parlays and the Giants-Rams prop package

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The Underdog NFL Show previews the complete NFL Week 1 slate, with Chris Horwedel and Mario Hines breaking down every matchup, roster question, and early-season pressure point. The episode opens with online privacy before moving into Patriots-Seahawks and the NFL’s Australia game. Christian McCaffrey, Aaron Rodgers, C.J. Stroud, and Drake May become major discussion points. The show closes with the remaining Sunday and Monday matchups.

0:13 Intro, Mario’s Future Chefs photo, online privacy, data-removal services and spam calls.

9:27 Patriots-Seahawks: Super Bowl rematch, New England’s offseason, Seattle’s line and Sam Darnold.

15:57 49ers-Rams in Melbourne: travel, Aaron Donald and Christian McCaffrey’s workload and career trends.

24:09 Falcons-Steelers: Aaron Rodgers, Pittsburgh’s offense, Atlanta’s secondary and Mike Tomlin.

31:34 Ravens-Colts: Daniel Jones’ Achilles return and Baltimore’s new era.

32:45 Bills-Texans: C.J. Stroud’s contract expectations, Houston’s offense and Buffalo’s outlook.

40:27 Bears-Panthers: Caleb Williams, Drake May comparisons and Carolina.

44:52 Drake Maye QB-ranking debate against Hurts, Love, Goff, Burrow, Mahomes, Herbert, Stafford, and others.

54:44 Jets-Titans: Geno Smith, Cam Ward and Tennessee.

55:45 Browns-Jaguars: Cleveland’s QB situation and Jacksonville’s offense.

55:59 Saints-Lions: New Orleans’ roster and Detroit.

56:32 Buccaneers-Bengals: Baker Mayfield’s deal, Joe Burrow and Cincinnati.

57:26 Cardinals-Chargers: Arizona and Mike McDaniel’s Chargers offense.

58:40 Packers-Vikings: Kyler Murray, Kevin O’Connell and Minnesota’s QB situation.

1:01:30 Dolphins-Raiders: Malik Willis, Kirk Cousins, Fernando Mendoza and Miami’s rebuild.

1:04:04 Eagles-Commanders: Philadelphia’s defense, Washington’s line and Jayden Daniels.

1:05:05 Cowboys-Giants: Malik Nabers, New York’s defense and Dallas.

1:08:25 Broncos-Chiefs: Denver’s expectations and Kansas City.

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The Underdog NFL Show previews every NFL division, Eagles and Lions roster decisions, Hurts-A.J. Brown, the Wednesday opener, Kirk Cousins and the Raiders, Joe Burrow’s future, NFL roster ages, and conference/Super Bowl futures ahead of Week 1.

0:13 Intro from Azerbaijan, Qarabağ FK, NFL kickoff week, and oddsmakers’ season markets.

3:54 Lions roster cuts, Greg Dortch and Detroit’s preseason outlook.

5:20 Eagles cuts: four quarterbacks, International Pathway prospects, Carson Steele and Jalen Hurts-A.J. Brown.

9:17 NFL’s rare Wednesday opener and the 2012 Cowboys-Giants precedent.

12:44 NFC West: Rams, Seahawks, 49ers and Cardinals outlook.

16:00 NFC East: Eagles, Cowboys, Giants and Commanders, including offensive-line and quarterback questions.

21:11 NFC South: Buccaneers, Saints, Panthers and Falcons roster outlook.

25:37 NFC North: Lions, Bears, Packers and Vikings, plus Micah Parsons and Harrison Smith.

33:34 AFC West: Broncos, Chiefs, Chargers and Raiders with Kirk Cousins starting in Las Vegas.

35:31 AFC East: Bills, Patriots, Jets and Dolphins, plus Buffalo-New England expectations.

41:35 AFC South: Texans, Jaguars, Colts and Titans, plus NFL roster-age comparisons.

48:06 AFC North: Ravens, Bengals, Steelers and Browns, Joe Burrow’s future and an Eagles hypothetical.

49:57 NFC/AFC championship and Super Bowl futures discussion.

51:21 Close and look ahead to Week 1.

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0:13 Intro: Za’Darius Smith’s retirement story and NFL return.

5:05 College eligibility: Da’Quan Wright, NFL-to-college returns, conference bans, and draft questions.

9:55 NIL economics: college QB salaries vs NFL rookies, Darian Mensah, Dante Moore, Trinidad Chambliss, Arch Manning, Dylan Raiola and Bryce Underwood.

17:04 College football futures and Michigan/Michigan State title odds.

21:30 NFL ends the Pro Bowl game; what the honor means going forward.

24:17 NFL watchability 32–21: Browns, Dolphins, Titans, Cardinals, Falcons, Raiders, Steelers, Jets, Saints, Giants, Chiefs and Panthers.

37:20 Rankings 20–15: 49ers, Colts, Packers, Jaguars, Bills and Eagles; Travis Hunter, Jalen Hurts and Philly’s defense.

46:38 Eagles outlook: DeVonta Smith receptions and Saquon Barkley rushing totals.

48:15 Rankings 14–10: Buccaneers, Commanders, Texans, Ravens and Broncos.

54:22 Rankings 9–5: Vikings, Seahawks, Bengals, Cowboys and Patriots.

57:53 Rankings 4–1: Chargers, Lions, Rams and No. 1 Chicago Bears.

1:01:40 Close and look ahead to the NFL season.

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