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UAP as NHI: Probability vs. Certainty

UAP as NHI: Probability vs. Certainty

Written by: Bill Sego
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Unidentified Anomalous Phenomenon as Non-Human Intelligence is a site dedicated to promoting a uniquely combined philosophical, scientific, and logical approach to the UFO enigma. The primary goal is to assess a non-human-intelligence probability value of the phenomenon without the need for claims of scientific fact or absolute truth. The aim is to offer a fresh approach that eliminates the need for "opinion" or "belief" in public discussions about the topic. Instead, a neutral position that fosters non-biased interpretation and pluralistic discourse is encouraged.Bill Sego Science
Episodes
  • Ep 019: The 10 Degrees of Disclosure
    Jan 17 2026

    In this episode of UAP as NHI, we explore the many ways “disclosure” is defined within the UAP community and why the conversation has become so fragmented. To bring clarity to the topic, the episode introduces a simplified 10 Degrees of Disclosure framework that organizes everything from early civilian sightings to direct non-human contact into a clear, evidence-based progression. Each level is examined not only in terms of what it reveals, but how it would impact society, science, religion, and our understanding of reality itself.The episode also explores how different groups—ufologists, governments, scientists, skeptics, and the general public—would require different levels of evidence before accepting the existence of non-human intelligence. From whistleblower testimony and leaked documents to scientific confirmation and public contact events, the discussion highlights how disclosure is not a single moment, but an evolving process shaped by evidence, interpretation, and human psychology.Finally, the episode considers how the origin of non-human intelligence—whether extraterrestrial, interdimensional, future-human, or cryptoterrestrial—could dramatically influence public reaction and societal consequences. By organizing the chaos of disclosure terminology into a clear, structured model, this episode offers a grounded, accessible way to think about one of the most profound questions of our time: what it would really take for humanity to accept that we are not alone.

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    1 hr and 15 mins
  • Ep 018: NHI Origin Likelihood Chart
    Nov 23 2025

    This episode marks the conclusion of the NHI Origins Mini-Series, where I present the NHI Origin Likelihood Chart—a structured tool designed to estimate the most probable source of non-human intelligences associated with the UAP phenomenon. By examining sixty-five distinct points of evidence and evaluating how well each aligns with the four major origin hypotheses, the chart offers a logical, organized way to approach a topic often dominated by speculation and personal belief. The full breakdown of arguments, along with both completed and blank versions of the chart, is available on my website.Throughout the episode, I walk through select examples from each evidence category, illustrating how the reasoning process works and how an individual might assign point values based on abductive, deductive, and comparative logic. Rather than claiming absolute truth, this method provides a rational starting point for anyone seeking to make sense of the intelligence behind the phenomenon.Ultimately, this episode underscores that exploring UAP origins is a personal and evolving journey. The chart is only one analytical tool among many, intended to help cut through noise and bias while encouraging open-minded inquiry. Whether you adopt this framework, modify it, or devise your own, my hope is that it inspires a more structured, thoughtful approach to one of the most intriguing mysteries of our time.https://www.uapasnhi.com/probabilityNHI Origin Likelihood Chart Page 1:https://www.uapasnhi.com/_files/ugd/e74cdd_05e96a8b348445e390a5433cf1d726a6.xls?dn=NHI%20Origin%20Chart%20Pg%201.xlsNHI Origin Likelihood Chart Page 2:https://www.uapasnhi.com/_files/ugd/e74cdd_c387d1c3d65d4b52ac3f66070a01f827.xls?dn=NHI%20Origin%20Chart%20Pg%202.xlsEvidence Point Arguments:https://www.uapasnhi.com/_files/ugd/e74cdd_3906cb0c779e4e1eb2dde8c5de539374.docx?dn=Origin%20Point%20Arguments.docx(Blank) NHI Origin Likelihood Chart Page 1:https://www.uapasnhi.com/_files/ugd/e74cdd_ae4d75ba8c694022ad05cb3739b634c8.xls?dn=Blank%20NHI%20Origin%20Chart%20Pg%201.xls(Blank) NHI Origin Likelihood Chart Page 2:https://www.uapasnhi.com/_files/ugd/e74cdd_6bb31d4f323d4e099585c5ed27a4cb5a.xls?dn=Blank%20NHI%20Origin%20Chart%20Pg%202.xls

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    56 mins
  • Moving Delay
    Oct 31 2025

    Episode 18 will be delayed until next month since I'm still in the process of unpacking from the move to my new home. I also have to finish setting up my studio. Just wanted to give everyone a heads up.

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    1 min
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