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Volatility Views 684: SpaceX Caps Off a Wild Week in Volatility
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Volatility Views 684: SpaceX Caps Off a Wild Week in Volatility
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A truly wild week in the markets culminated in the historic SpaceX IPO, sending shockwaves through the trading landscape. In this episode, host Mark Longo is joined by special guest Henry Schwartz (The Flow Master, Cboe) and Mark Sebastian (OptionPit) to break down a massive week of intraday swings and shifting volatility structures.
The panel dives deep into the market mechanics behind the $75B SpaceX debut, exploring its staggering $2.2 trillion valuation, retail distribution frenzy, and what to expect when SpaceX options officially launch next Tuesday. Will implied volatility open 20–25% too rich? Could risk reversals yield massive credits for long holders?
Plus, they analyze the macro picture: a potential Middle East peace deal, plummeting oil prices, shifting bond allocations, and why VIX cash flirted with a 22 handle before settling back down. The episode wraps up with a breakdown of VIX options flow (including heavy action on the June 18 puts) and a highly contested two-week Crystal Ball prediction that sees the panel split by over six points.