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WAR 1870–1949: How Empires Rise and Fall

WAR 1870–1949: How Empires Rise and Fall

Written by: Nik Osterman
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WAR 1870–1949: How Empires Rise and Fall

This is a story about why war happens when nobody truly wants it—until suddenly, everyone does.

If you grew up with the usual explanation, you were told the First World War begins with a gunshot in Sarajevo. A young man steps forward, fires two rounds, and the world falls apart. It’s neat. It’s cinematic. It has a villain, a victim, a turning point, and a date you can underline. It also has the comforting illusion that history is a line of dominoes and that one pushed the rest.

But the truth is crueler and more human.

Sarajevo was not the beginning. Sarajevo was a match. The question is why the room was full of powder.

This season is about the powder.

Nik Osterman
Social Sciences
Episodes
  • The Economy of War
    Feb 16 2026

    Hello and welcome back. This is WAR 1870–1949: How Empires Rise and Fall. Today’s episode is The Economy of War—the machinery beneath the speeches, the quiet engine that makes conflict not only possible but increasingly likely. You asked the right questions: who, why, when. And you framed it perfectly: this becomes more and more ardent. It doesn’t stay a background detail. It moves forward until it becomes a kind of gravity.

    To understand the economy of war after 1918, you have to abandon the comforting idea that war is only a political decision made in a room by a few leaders. War is also an ecosystem. It has supply chains. It has employment. It has credit. It has industrial planning. It has contracts. It has lobbyists and ministries and generals who measure security in steel. It has journalists who translate fear into public appetite. It has workers whose wages depend on production. It has towns where the factory is the town. It has elites who speak about honor while signing procurement schedules.

    And after the Great War, everyone knows something they did not know so clearly before: modern war is not fought by armies alone. It is fought by entire societies. It is fought by coal and rail and petroleum and nitrates and shipping and machine tools and steel output and electrical grids and food supply and morale. It is fought in factories before it is fought in trenches. So the economy of war is not a sideline—it becomes the main stage.

    Start with the simplest fact: the Great War invents “total war” as a lived economic reality. Governments learn how to conscript not only men but production. They create ministries, boards, ration systems, emergency powers. They learn how to convert peacetime industry into armaments. They learn how to standardize, quantify, and manage. They learn that bureaucracy can be a weapon. They learn that the home front is part of the front.

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    14 mins
  • The Victors in Fear: Britain and France Hold the Line
    Feb 15 2026

    Hello and welcome back. This is WAR 1870–1949: How Empires Rise and Fall. Episode Four of our buildup arc is The Victors in Fear: Britain and France Hold the Line.

    If you want to understand the interwar period properly, you have to strip away the victory photographs. The leaders look composed. The flags look proud. The map looks controlled. But underneath, Britain and France are not walking into peace—they’re walking into fragility. They have won, and they are terrified. Not theatrically. Structurally. Because they can feel, in their bones, that the old European order has been damaged beyond repair, and they don’t know what will replace it.

    France has been invaded and scarred. The battlefield has been on its soil. Whole regions have been torn up. A generation of young men is missing. That absence is not poetic; it’s demographic. It’s economic. It’s psychological. You can’t build a stable society on an empty cohort. You can’t replace missing fathers with speeches. You can’t replace missing bodies with monuments. And you can’t forget that the next invasion, if it comes, will come through the same routes again.

    So France’s victory doesn’t feel like triumph. It feels like a man who survived an attack in his own home and now sleeps lightly, listening for footsteps. The French state is obsessed with security because security is not abstract. It’s the only answer to the memory of German boots on French ground. That obsession shapes everything: diplomacy, alliances, military planning, the demand that Germany remain weak, and the deep fear that words on paper will not stop guns in the future.

    Britain is a victor too, but Britain’s victory has a different taste. Britain’s empire has held, yes, but the war has revealed its limits. Britain is financially strained. Britain is indebted. Britain has lost men. Britain has managed a total war, and total war has a habit of changing the relationship between rulers and ruled. People who have been asked to sacrifice begin asking questions. Why us? Why again? Why should we accept this arrangement forever?

    Britain also watches the continent with cold calculation: a weakened Germany is good in one sense, but a permanently humiliated Germany is dangerous. A broken Russia is dangerous. A revolutionary Russia is dangerous. A continent full of grievances is dangerous. Britain wants balance, because Britain’s whole imperial survival logic depends on not being dragged into another continental furnace.

    So Britain becomes the nation of cautious power: still immense, still global, but cautious in a way that can look like indecision to those who want clarity.

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    9 mins
  • Russia: Retreat, Revolution, and the New Empire
    Feb 9 2026

    Hello and welcome back. This is WAR 1870–1949: How Empires Rise and Fall. Episode Three of our buildup arc is Russia: Retreat, Revolution, and the New Empire.

    If Germany is the story of a crown falling and a republic trying to stand upright in a storm, Russia is something else entirely. Russia is what happens when an empire doesn’t merely lose a war, but loses the right to command reality. It is the moment a state’s voice stops sounding like fate and starts sounding like a weak man pleading. And once that happens, the world changes shape fast.

    The Russian Empire goes into the Great War carrying old weight—peasants and priests, palaces and poverty, a vast distance between the rulers and the ruled, a tradition of obedience held together by habit, fear, and the aura of the Tsar. But modern war is not polite. It doesn’t care about aura. It doesn’t care about prayers. It doesn’t care about dynastic myths. It cares about shells, supply lines, factories, railroads, and whether your soldiers believe the people sending them to die have any idea what they’re doing.

    Russia bleeds early, bleeds often, and bleeds in ways that don’t produce “meaning.” That’s crucial. A society can endure suffering if it feels the suffering is purposeful and competent. But when suffering feels pointless and incompetent, it becomes political acid. And in Russia, the war becomes acid.

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    11 mins
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