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During my second junior year in college, I took a Shakespeare class. I was a business major and wore a coat and tie to class. In a roomful of liberal arts majors, it was obvious that I was the class nerd. The only line I can remember from the lectures was, “All that glitters is not gold.” Full disclosure: I had to Google “Shakespeare” to make sure I had the proper quote. It comes from the Merchant of Venice and is a warning against being misled by outward appearances.

But getting back to Shakespeare’s all that glitters is not gold thing. There are 8,314 mutual funds available to the investment public. In calendar 2025, just 11% of these 8,314 mutual funds beat the market. Their average gain was 13.5%, barely half the 25.7% total return of the market.

Which begs the question? What is the market? The gold standard for the market is the S&P 500 and the benchmark most quote by the financial media. It consists of 500 publicly traded companies selected by a committee hired by the index’s owner, Stand and Poors. It is the most comprehensive of the major indexes and includes 92 percent of all publicly traded companies.

Of the 8,314 mutual funds produced by Wall Street, 73 percent are actively managed funds, which means that they have a professional manager who trades the stocks in the fund’s portfolio in order to increase its performance. The remaining 27 percent are passive index funds whose object is to mimic the performance of a specific market index. Index funds don’t trade in order to enhance their performance thus eliminate all trading cost and the expense of a fund manager.

In 2025, only 914 of all the mutual funds equaled or beat the market. Of that 914, 177 were index funds who mimic the S&P 500. Of the remaining 737 funds, only 112 made the high-performance list in 2024. All 77 S&P 500 funds were on the winners list in 2024, and the year before and the year before, and so on.

A 401k account is an investment account not a savings account. But investing is not a one size fits all proposition. Those who manage their 401k who manage their 401k wisely will get the gold. Those who take a casual approach to the management of their 401k will end up with shiny pyrite, also known as fools’ gold.

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The American economic engine is the greatest wealth producing machine the world has ever known. At the turn of the 20th century, it produced $4 billion in revenue for the American people. Last year it produced $30 trillion: A 4,000 percent increase. In 1900, a handful of individuals, known as robber barons, owned 70% of the nation’s assets. In 1950, less than 3% of the American population owned stocks. Today, 60 percent of American families own stock and 73 percent of the national wealth.

We can attribute the growth of the American economic engine to our capitalist system and the ingenuity and determination of the American people. The shift in the ownership of its output came about in 1975 with the introduction of the 401k program. The acronym, 401k comes from a section in the tax code which allows workers to deduct a portion of their wages and invest it in a tax-sheltered account, to be used later, in their retirement years.

The magnitude and importance of today’s 401k program is staggering. There are over 90 million plan participants, who own a total of $12 trillion in assets. In addition to this, there has been another 30 million Americans who have retired and rolled their assets over into an IRA, bringing the total value of the program to over $35 trillion. This is a figure 15 percent larger than the current Gross Domestic Product. And last year, these assets produced $1.5 trillion in additional wealth because their owners had the forethought and discipline to forego instant gratification and the dedication to wisely manage their 401k.

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Tis the season where we titillate our naïve young people with the story of a mystical elderly gentleman who rewards his followers with gifts, the quality of which is based on their year-to-date behavior.

An argument can be made that Mr. Market rewards his followers in a similar fashion. The mission of this episode of my podcast is to provide you with some perspective on how Mr. Market treated his followers in the year 2025. As you listen to this, I respectfully request that you keep the following in mind. First, investing is not a one size fits all proposition. Every investor comes to the table with unique objectives, skill sets, and service provider. Secondly, my remarks are aimed at the 90 million 401(k) participants who are required to manage their own account, but are limited to a menu of mutual funds provided by their employer.

I want to close with a major caveat. Keep in mind that Mr. Market is a composite of many investors, each of which brings their own perspective and skill set to the table. Consequently, in the short-term Mr. Markets activity is random and unpredictable. In this context I asked that you enter 2026 with an open and flexible perspective and do not consider what I have said about 2025 in any way shape or form as a prediction to how 2026 will unfold.

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