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Why Venezuela Doesn't Make Sense (Oil, Gas Prices, and Geopolitics Explained)

Why Venezuela Doesn't Make Sense (Oil, Gas Prices, and Geopolitics Explained)

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Most explanations about Venezuela fall into two simple stories:

"They removed a bad guy."
"This will lead to cheaper gas."

Both sound plausible. Neither survive with how oil markets, geopolitics, and incentives work. Examine the mechanics underneath the story:

  • How "bad actor" narratives simplify a complex structural conflict
  • How oil prices are set and why Venezuela's oil won't lower gas prices
  • Why strategic alignment, precedent, and rule-setting matter more than bad actor behavior and pump prices

This is not a defense of any government or leader, and it does not minimize real abuses or governance failures. This is an exercise in thinking clearly.

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