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The Calm Before the Storm

Why Volatility Signals Stability and Vice Versa

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The Calm Before the Storm

Written by: Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Gregory F. Treverton
Narrated by: Kevin Stillwell
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Instead of trying to predict "Black Swan" events such as coups or crises, forecasters should look at how political systems handle disorder. The best indicator of a country's future trajectory is not a lengthy past stability, but recent moderate volatility.

©2015 Foreign Affairs (P)2015 Audible, Inc. History & Theory Political Science Politics & Government Social Sciences
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