• Untitled Episode
    Oct 15 2026
    Good now revolutionaries—Thursday wrap with a hot inflation print. PPI came in at 6.3% versus 5.3% expected — a FULL percentage-point miss — and crypto broke live on-air. Will's second short of the week was already open (50% of his account, high conviction) and started printing immediately. The FedWatch odds for an October hike moved 20% → 25-30% on the day. Kevin Warsh speaking at the IMF 10:30pm tonight — fireside chat, could leak forward direction. The run-up: Alex closed his Quant long yesterday just before BTC nosedived, Quant dropped from $200 to $190 in seconds. Will's own short tightened too aggressively — took the 17% win and watched it quadruple without him. Then the risk-management teach-segment — why Will doesn't use stop-losses anymore, cross-margin at 25% of account with 30-50x leverage, picking ONE support/resistance line as your make-or-break, and the casino analogy for position sizing.Patrick Witt officially confirmed OUT (Eleanor Tourette retweeted + the White House replied within hours of her posting the Rise Up rumor). The corporate-crypto comment section going into mourning — Brian Armstrong, Jake Chervinsky, the whole wealth-made-this-year crowd. Alex's bigger pattern-recognition: Bo Hines left White House → straight to Tether as CEO of USAT (their Genius Act-compliant US stablecoin), with Tether money flowing into companies Hines already owned during his White House tenure. 'The conflict of interest is absolutely crazy.' Then the receipts: Richard Heart's SEC case was dismissed in 2025 as part of the blanket enforcement halt. CFTC identified flagrant insider trading on prediction markets ahead of the Iran war reversal — told to drop it. The CFTC is now just Michael Selleck. Alex's full rant: the industry supposed to disrupt global money has been handed to the worst people on earth while people lose healthcare and homelessness gets criminalized.Also in the pod: Octant launches a live-stream series TODAY 11am ET with Epoch 13 projects — Paperweight, Hisoka Labs, Umbra — all around privacy; follow at Octant app. Jeremy Allaire (Circle CEO) retweeted Argus — 'The whole industry wants to be serious until they look at how much revenue Pump Fun made.' Circle buy-zone math: $73 first gap, $68 real buy. Kraken's parent Payward buying a Lithuanian bank. TAO + the AI bubble — 'imaginary money between six companies and twelve dudes and the US government.' Citrini Research's new 79-page token basket (DRV, EtherFi, AAVE, Athena, Sol, Hype, Aero, LayerZero, Chainlink, Backpack, Maple, Uni, Pendle, Ondo) and the public-markets basket right alongside. Ledger Open live-stream roast as the Laura Shin tampered-Ledger thread ran next to it in the feed. Will's close: 'practice your buying muscle' — $5 micro-buys for anyone paralyzed on the sidelines. The Rise Up mission statement sends off the week: 'You're 99.99% closer to the person you've been told to hate than to the one you think has your best interest at heart.' Lovable Paws Rescue plug + the local-CSA angle.Powered by Jito — stake your SOL at https://www.jito.network/staking/.Support the show— Want to hang out with us after the show, get live answers to your questions, or join future giveaways? Join our free community where the show lives 24/7: community.rumshq.com—☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️LIVE Monday - Thursday @ 7a centralHelpful web3 news, commentary, & answers to your crypto questions.🍻RISE UP AFTER DARK🌗 LIVE Wednesdays @ 7p centralDYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.📈RISE UP MARKET WATCH🤑LIVE Mondays @ 7p centralTechnical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.⚖️ TRUST ISSUES 🧐 LIVE Tuesdays @ 6:30p centralBreaking down U.S. crypto policy, regulation, and legislation—what they mean for the industry and what comes next.—WANT MORE?👉Connect w/us on your favorite social: https://rumshq.com👉Become a guest or sponsor: riseup@rumshq.com👉Join our free community: https://community.rumshq.comFOLLOW OUR HOSTS:☮️ Evan Mann: https://beacons.ai/conversationswithevan🤬 Alex Popovic: https://alexpopovic.info🐬 Will Watson: https://c...
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    1 hr and 16 mins
  • After Dark Hits Episode 100🎉 Our Favorite Moments + Crypto Macro Updates | Ep 100🍻🌗
    Oct 15 2026
    Good now revolutionaries—Rise Up After Dark hits ONE HUNDRED. The headline comes in as the show opens — Richard Heart (Hex / PulseChain) was perp-walked in Istanbul. Alex reads the full Turkish-media inventory: $600K in cash, 24 wristwatches, 20 gold bracelets, 7 gold necklaces, 7 firearms, 1,300 rounds of ammo, 12 phones, 6 laptops, 20 GPUs, 14 SSDs, 2 drones. His wife was taken in too. Caps a long run — SEC's 2023 case alleged ~$1B raised in unregistered offerings and $12M in misappropriated investor funds; Finland's 2024 Interpol red notice did the rest. Will's wearing a $750 Ren Faire fur he eventually names Argus. Alex finally joins at 10:45 after what he calls the seventh-and-a-half circle of VA hell — AND a StreamYard horror story about playback-speed scrubbing silently changing timestamps in cloud recordings, invalidating every clip timestamp he'd pulled for the Ep 100 highlight edit. Silver lining: Alex's demo CARDS buy from this morning's JTX walkthrough fell on-air and he happened to catch the bottom, up 38%. '$50 — now I can afford my healthcare for 17 more minutes.'Patrick Witt officially confirmed OUT: Eleanor Tourette emailed the White House three times trying to confirm the Rise Up rumor, no response. The moment she posted the breaking rumor, the White House replied back — 'His service is over.' Full crypto-council clear-out confirmed on paper now. Then a 90-minute Will-vs-Evan Quant debate. Evan's long leaning on the Coinglass heatmap stacking $2B of shorts at $250. Will's three counterpoints: Coinglass is Binance-owned (don't trust it as a sole source), PPI tomorrow is expected hot, and the chart itself still has no bottom indicator. Round 2: Will overlays BTC and QNT side-by-side — Quant has decoupled from the macro but is actually UNDERPERFORMING Bitcoin on an accelerated schedule, not acting as some market-maker-manipulated outlier. Evan concedes the risk-management point. Full 'how CPI actually moves crypto' explainer from Will — Fed → rates → money supply → risk-on assets, with crypto as the most risk-on in the world.The milestone retrospective: Will's fart heard around the world, William Quigley chasing the bear outside his window, counting in the Bitcoin halving live on TikTok, the Alon-from-Pump-Fun phone call. Aerodrome-Velodrome merger details — Tuesday Nov 1, 1 old AERO → 1 new AERO, every 1,000 VELO → 44 AERO, Alpenglow goes live same day. DeFi Llama's revenue research pins launchpads as the #2 fastest-growing category — exactly why Argus is on Will's watchlist despite the $7M market cap. Doxxed-vs-undoxxed teams got the full accounting: FTX, Terra Luna (currently #119 by market cap, one spot above Jito at #120), Celsius, Richard Heart all doxxed and all rugged; Satoshi was anonymous. Membership giveaway starts tonight as a new tradition — Faye Leaf wins the free month of Premium. Jane Polly takes the dings leaderboard on a birthday bonus. SatRush update: Ethical-ish from the community won the Epoch Vault; White Whale has paused sponsorship temporarily while they onboard a new director of marketing. Alex's close is a hopeful one — Twitter discourse is noticeably better since Ukraine blew up the Russian bot farm (Tucker Carlson's engagement collapsed with it). Will names the fur Argus. 'Here's to a hundred more.'Powered by Jito — stake your SOL at https://www.jito.network/staking/Support the show— Want to hang out with us after the show, get live answers to your questions, or join future giveaways? Join our free community where the show lives 24/7: community.rumshq.com—☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️LIVE Monday - Thursday @ 7a centralHelpful web3 news, commentary, & answers to your crypto questions.🍻RISE UP AFTER DARK🌗 LIVE Wednesdays @ 7p centralDYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.📈RISE UP MARKET WATCH🤑LIVE Mondays @ 7p centralTechnical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.⚖️ TRUST ISSUES 🧐 LIVE Tuesdays @ 6:30p centralBreaking down U.S. crypto policy, regulation, and legislation—what they mean for the industry and what comes next.—WANT MORE?👉Connect w/us on your favorite social: https://rumshq.com👉Become a guest or sponsor: riseup@rumshq.com👉Join our free community: https://community.rumshq.comFOLLOW OUR HOSTS:☮️ Evan Mann: https://beacons.ai/conversationswithevan🤬 Alex Popovic: https://alexpopovic.info🐬 Will Watson: https://c...
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    1 hr and 55 mins
  • The JTX Tutorial: Zero to Pro in Under an Hour + How to Handle Your Crypto Taxes | Ep 588
    Oct 14 2026

    Good now revolutionaries—

    A full JTX tutorial day — from zero to pro — triggered by Daniel P's '4% fees' question from the community. Three sign-in options, fund the wallet, cap your spend-authority permissions, and run through all four order types with Alex live. Market vs limit vs smart fill vs pro. The structural win over a Coinbase or Kraken limit order: on JTX the parameters live ON-CHAIN, so a smart contract forces the fill — flash crashes don't blow past it, platform glitches don't eat it, no priority stack putting your order behind someone else's. The CEX spread example: BTC market-buying at $84K while a limit sell on the same book is $82.2K — set a limit at market price even if you want it to fire now; you still save the spread. Smart Fill splits one big order into a burst of smaller ones to beat slippage, with a randomize toggle that masks your size from whale-hunters watching the book.

    Right in the middle of the tutorial — Will crashes in. CPI came in HOT: 3.7% headline (vs 3.6% expected), 2.6% core (vs 2.5%). 'I was right that the PCE methodology change was manipulation to make inflation look better going into the election.' Bitcoin breaks live on-air. Key support $82.3K; break opens $79-75K; worst case $69K. Oil pumpy = crypto dumpy. 'Might be the right day to be learning JTX to lock in gains.' Rate hikes at the end of October now a real possibility.

    Then a Coinglass liquidation-heatmap deep-dive on Quant — zoomed out to one week, a massive $256 band showing the whole market betting lower while market makers have every incentive to push HIGHER to collect those liquidations. Full explainer on why price is an outcome of activity, not the other way around. Dark pools, CZ, and what hyperliquid Jeff said — 'shocking breaking news: billionaire wants more money.'

    Taxes without the eye-glaze: HIFO vs FIFO vs LIFO, pick-one-and-stick-with-it, both long- and short-term rates are bracket-based (not a flat 37%), Alex ran Awaken against Coinly this year to compare. POAP has officially sunset — no more minting, Will figure out an alternative for Ep 100 tonight. Then the sober Clarity answer: it's coming back post-midterms and it's going to be WORSE — $84M already spent against Sherrod Brown — plus the political autopsy on how an eviscerated SEC/CFTC/White House Crypto Council (Sacks + Hines + Witt all gone) got here. The DOGE pattern repeats. Pig butchering mechanics + why 'traceable ≠ recoverable.' And breaking: Richard Heart (Hex / PulseChain) arrested in an early-morning Istanbul raid — luxury watches, firearms, cash — on an Interpol red notice from Finland. The Plume Network warning — $2M TVL, negative net flows, stale oracles, $2K daily volume on the 'most liquid' venue. Ep 100 of After Dark tonight.

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    2 hrs and 2 mins
  • Explaining the Recent Ledger Exploit + How to Ensure Your Cold Storage Wallet is Secure
    Oct 13 2026

    Good now revolutionaries—

    Back from Pirate Fest on Tybee and straight into the biggest hardware-wallet story in a long time. The Ledger exploit: tiny transmission chips installed inside devices resold through Crypto Billis (and apparently several other licensed third-party resellers) that recorded the device screen while owners set up their seed phrases and PINs. Ledger's response — publishing the IPB exploded-view diagram of every wallet so you can disassemble yours and look for spyware — got a 25-minute Alex rant and the open question of why this company is still a company. The attacker's cash trail ran through Zcash → Tornado Cash → USDC; approximately $2.9M is sitting at an address USDC could freeze right now. If you bought direct from Ledger, you're fine. From anywhere else, swap it. Arculus is $60 (down from $99) through the end of October.

    Will's updated macro call going into tomorrow's CPI print (8:30am EST + PPI Thursday): the government changed PCE methodology, which swung the last reading 0.3% toward 'inflation is cooling.' CPI at BLS methodology hasn't changed. Expectations: 3.6% headline (vs 3.4% prior), 2.5% core (vs 2.4%). Fed watch 80.6% hold / 19.4% hike. If CPI prints hot, those odds whip hard and the market punishes it — 'perfectly built middle manipulative setup' heading into the midterms. Japan's 6.8% inflation beat (vs 7.8% expected) stabilized the overnight tape, pulling European markets up on their open. BTC dancing $82-83K; altcoins took the damage.

    Policy scoop breaking from the show's source: Patrick Witt — the lead at the White House Crypto Council since replacing Bo Hines in August 2025 — is rumored to be OUT. That makes it a complete council clear-out: Sacks stepped down, Hines stepped down, and now Witt. Alex's pattern-match: this is DOGE 2.0 — set up fast, be useless, grab what matters (data, connections, policy wins for a handful of CEOs), quietly wind down. The source's other quote on Clarity: 'Nobody actually wanted it to pass. The major players spent nothing on it compared to their super-PAC donations. Consumers would have been slightly better off, but the whales didn't care.' Clarity in the lame duck: 'I have oceanfront property in the Midwest to sell you.'

    Also in the pod: Global Intelligence Letter on how buying small amounts of physical gold requires a 50% price run just to break even on the dealer markup — pivoting to tokenized gold on-chain (Swarms, PAXG) as the better path; Xash's model of stablecoin issuers subsidizing DeFi gold yield; the Financial Stability Board pushing regulators to plan for stablecoin failures while banks pivot to tokenized deposits; Reposa Coffee on the Miami Marlins' big screen for Vice City night; the daily Aventus Network spam-ticker PSA; a cold/hot/exchange storage comparison for KB; the actual mechanical difference between Ponzis and pyramids; and the 'buy from your Arculus' question — yes you can, but you'll pay the premium.

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    ☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️
    LIVE Monday - Thursday @ 7a central
    Helpful web3 news, commentary, & answers to your crypto questions.

    🍻RISE UP AFTER DARK🌗
    LIVE Wednesdays @ 7p central
    DYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.

    📈RISE UP MARKET WATCH🤑
    LIVE Mondays @ 7p central
    Technical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.

    ⚖️ TRUST ISSUES 🧐
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    1 hr and 53 mins
  • Will's Altcoin Picks: $ARGUS (Chaos) and $CARDS (Safer) + $JUP, $RAY, and $CRV | Ep 58📈🤑
    Oct 13 2026

    Good now revolutionaries—

    Will and Doug on Monday Market Watch — and they're announcing the biggest format change the show has had since launch. After a year of hour-long public streams, Market Watch is shifting more time into the Beacon trading group where paying members actually get the time they're paying for. Starting next week: 40 min public + 20 min community-only. Four weeks from now into Thanksgiving: ~20 min public + 40 min inside the Beacon. The free stream isn't going away — it's getting focused.

    On the chart side: Bitcoin broke the wedge October 7, wedge target is $78K, deep support band $78-75K, worst case $69K. Will shows the 3-month bear-to-bull pattern that gets retested every cycle — the 12-EMA sits at $75K and lines up perfectly with the 200-day EMA retest that hasn't fired since August. Short-close zone $79.7-80.3K. Chris Moore's bear-trap theory has a liquidation payday at $86.8-$87.4K as the counter-magnet. DXY on a tear since Sept 10, oil clearing above its EMAs targeting $100, 10-year yields barely weakening — the macro trifecta Bitcoin needs is still not aligned. And Will's prediction for Wednesday CPI: PCE got a methodology change that made it look good; CPI didn't, so Wednesday 8:30am is 'set up perfectly to fuck things over.' FOMC Oct 27-28, PCE Oct 29. That week is going to be nuts.

    Doug's trade log is on display: he caught shorts on SanDisk and Micron off the Beacon, and his BTCC Bitcoin shorts are printing (50x, 40x, 45x — the setup he identified last night, pushed harder mid-day today). He's been short gold for weeks ($4,160 line, $4K break opens it up). Also walks through Nikkei as a NASDAQ leading indicator (Japan reacts to overnight news), Europe core and south both bearish, and the chip-stock cooldown (Costby fund, Samsung + SK Hynix). Alibaba waits for a $120 reclaim before Doug goes long.

    Will's alt picks: Argus (chaos play — bought at $1M market cap, now ~$40M, launchpad for ARC) and Cards (safer — Collector Crypt token, one of the highest-revenue dApps in all of crypto, Pokemon-card/collectibles gambling with buyback-and-burn tokenomics, currently ~$110M market cap, not on any CEX yet). Pengu cooled off because OG Penguins is pivoting to an IPO story. ENA buy band $0.18-$0.15. SUI buy band 95-83¢. Pendle may be the leading indicator — breaking the 200-week EMA ahead of other coins, $1.70-$1.40 is the dream buy zone. Full moon Oct 30. Dips are for buying — just no rush.

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    ☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️
    LIVE Monday - Thursday @ 7a central
    Helpful web3 news, commentary, & answers to your crypto questions.

    🍻RISE UP AFTER DARK🌗
    LIVE Wednesdays @ 7p central
    DYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.

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    LIVE Mondays @ 7p central
    Technical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.

    ⚖️ TRUST ISSUES 🧐
    LIVE Tuesdays @ 6:30p central
    Breaking down U.S. crypto policy, regulation, and legislation—what they mean for the industry and what comes next.


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    56 mins
  • Samsung partners with Solana to bring USDC to 82 million Galaxy devices
    Oct 8 2026

    Good now revolutionaries—

    Pirate Fest Thursday — the whole crew in costume, Will's hat sized up a notch, and Alex opening another short because Bitcoin just crashed through the top of its consolidation range. The chart drive: thick angry red daily candle, closed below the 21-EMA, immediate target $79K, real target $75-76K (the 12-EMA on the 3-month that gets retested in every bear-to-bull transition). Will's full-moon tie-in: end-of-October could be when it plays out. $730M in liquidations yesterday (91% longs), biggest single hit was a $26M ETH position on Binance. FOMC minutes dropped — inflation expectations at their highest since May 2023, widening Fed/ECB gap is a headwind.

    Justin Drake's quantum 'bunker mode' tweet gets the full treatment. Vitalik's measured response (MLDSA is at risk inside two years, use hash-based constructions, don't rush). Alex's pushback: in a world where quantum breaks elliptic curve, Bitcoin is the hardest target with the smallest payoff — HTTPS handshakes, Signal, Bank of America PINs, firmware signatures, e-passports all break first. Tom Dunleavy's quote-tweet: real quantum researchers say we're 10-15 years out. If Q Day comes before 2030, crypto is the last thing we need to worry about.

    Samsung Wallet is now processing USDC on Solana for 82 million US devices — $5.25T in stablecoin volume through Samsung in 2026 alone. By the end of the show Will digs further and confirms Samsung is also routing USDC on Sui ($1T+ since Aug 2025 — about one-fifth of Sol's volume on this integration), which vindicates Evan's SUI tier placement from After Dark. Tether gets delisted from the EU — MiCA deadline Jan 8, 2027. Tether isn't applying; Europe is <2% of their volume. Circle fills the void with Stable Europe. 'Two great pirate ships.'

    Then the practical half of the show: Argus update (double bottom, up 31%, Will's DCA story, $14M market cap, zero inflation, burn mechanic + BlackRock-is-a-validator-on-ARK tailwinds), and a full on-air tutorial for how to actually buy a new token safely — CoinGecko verify by numbers, copy the contract address (never search by name on a DEX), swap on Uniswap, Trust Wallet/Rabby/Metamask all support ARK. Alex's pattern for his 40-50x's: hot young ecosystem + critical DeFi infrastructure (DEX or launchpad) + native to one chain. Octant announced the new privacy-focused Epoch cohort — Offline Protocol headlines it. Matthew's dad is top-25 on SatRush, Matthew's RUSH airdrop is now a $1K bag with yield. Opus roasted Polygon's 'we're still here' tweet by turning it into the Polygon chart. Pirate Fest Saturday.


    Powered by Arculus Wallet — getarculus.com, promo code ARCURUMS10.

    Powered by Jito — stake your SOL at https://www.jito.network/staking/.

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    ☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️
    LIVE Monday - Thursday @ 7a central
    Helpful web3 news, commentary, & answers to your crypto questions.

    🍻RISE UP AFTER DARK🌗
    LIVE Wednesdays @ 7p central
    DYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.

    📈RISE UP MARKET WATCH🤑
    LIVE Mondays @ 7p central
    Technical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.

    ⚖️ TRUST ISSUES 🧐
    LIVE Tuesdays @ 6:30p central
    Breaking down U.S. crypto policy, regulation, and legislation—what they mean for the industry and what comes next.


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    1 hr and 5 mins
  • Grading Crypto Altcoin Ecosystems S to F + Will's Portfolio Stack | Ep 99🍻🌗
    Oct 8 2026

    Good now revolutionaries—

    Episode 99, full crew in person on Tybee for the second night. The opening question that doesn't go away: do you need a trust or an LLC for your crypto? Alex's firsthand answer — he set up an irrevocable, non-grantor, spendthrift, discretionary trust that cost him real money and he has used it exactly zero times. The pitch gets interesting above ~$100K in assets or for complex estates. Below that, you spend more on filings and setup than you save. The 'you need a trust' content you see on TikTok is largely scammers lifting Coach JV's videos and dubbing their own voiceover. Jake Claver gets fair credit for actually disclosing the floor; the broader XRP-community packaging (massive price prediction + fear) does not.

    Then the main event — the first Altcoin Grades round in a while, scoped to crypto ecosystems. S tier: ETH + SOL (Will's criteria: real builders + real users across retail and institutional). Bitcoin got left off this specific assignment — 'the network is the app.' A tier debate — Robinhood Chain and Base belong there on liquidity and user base; Hyperliquid gets contested hard. Alex: it's a DEX dressed up as a network, and he has a builder story to back it up (friend tried to spin up on Hyperliquid L1, foundation wouldn't even sit down because it wasn't the DEX). Stellar gets a quiet defense at B tier for actually moving money even while they're bleeding talent. XRP, Algo, Cardano, Optimism, ARK (asterisked) land in D. F tier: Say, dead L2s, and Alex's three P's — Pulse, Pi, Ponzi.

    Along the way: Will's updated chart drive ($82-83K zone is where this gets decided; $75-76K is the 12-EMA on the 3-month that gets touched every bear-to-bull transition), the Beacon war story on how the short got called in real time (Will felt the vibes, Ryan called RSI, Doug called oil, group converged, everyone cleared longs), Jupiter's 6-green-candle rounding bottom while BTC bled, Will's portfolio stack (~85% BTC + Circle stock, 10% risky altcoins = Cards and Argus), his Morpho-rode-it-down confession from last cycle, and the L2 graveyard check — Blast and Abstract are dead, Movement Labs out, Barachain and Story Protocol dying, Monad on watch. Episode 100 next week. Pirate Fest Saturday. Dress-like-a-pirate Thursday morning.


    Powered by Arculus Wallet — getarculus.com, promo code ARCURUMS10.

    Powered by Jito — stake your SOL at https://www.jito.network/staking/.

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    ☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️
    LIVE Monday - Thursday @ 7a central
    Helpful web3 news, commentary, & answers to your crypto questions.

    🍻RISE UP AFTER DARK🌗
    LIVE Wednesdays @ 7p central
    DYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.

    📈RISE UP MARKET WATCH🤑
    LIVE Mondays @ 7p central
    Technical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.

    ⚖️ TRUST ISSUES 🧐
    LIVE Tuesdays @ 6:30p central
    Breaking down U.S. crypto policy, regulation, and legislation—what they mean for the industry and what comes next.


    —

    WANT MORE?
    👉Connect w/us on your favorite social: https://rumshq.com
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    🤬 Alex Popovic: https://alexpopovic.info
    🐬 Will Watson: https://c...

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    1 hr and 54 mins
  • Why Bitcoin Dumped and our Signals in The Beacon That Called Before It Printed | Ep 585
    Oct 7 2026

    Full crew on the Tybee Island couch — Evan, Alex, and Will in person — opens with Will driving the Bitcoin chart live. The three signals that triggered yesterday's Beacon short call: an 8-hour BTC candle with a tall upper wick at the top of the wedge, an RSI trendline break on the 12-hour, and a hammer candle on daily oil (which runs inverse to BTC). Target $82K first, prepare for $76K (the 12-EMA on the 3-month that gets touched in every bear-to-bull transition). Long-term still 'bullish bullish bullish' on the 3-month and monthly.

    Then the L2 die-off — Abstract and Blast both shut down this week. Will's take: Ethereum mainnet keeps getting faster and cheaper, collapsing the competitive case for L2s. Companies with real customization needs will build their own; everyone else just uses mainnet. Polygon grave-danced in the wake of the shutdowns and the timeline wasn't having it. Sam Stephanie noted this is now a long log of companies — Abstract, Pumped Out Fun, Thousands, Blaze, Soldan — that tried live streaming as a go-to-market and got taken out, mostly because moderation discipline was never real.

    A dense trading-education stretch — the opportunity-cost framework for dead bags (Jakob's STX up 130%, FET irrelevant, 'nothing says dead project like a new 2-year roadmap'); the simple take-profit rules most traders won't follow; Solana vs Ethereum as the Android/Apple of operating systems with everything else as a Jitterbug. Alex is vibe-coding a Pokemon portfolio tracker and begging Packley to sponsor the show. On policy: Roman Storm's April 2027 retrial is the most important crypto lawsuit, the DOJ's own AAG said developers of neutral tools shouldn't be prosecuted — which is the entire basis for the appeal and why Camino and other geofenced protocols stay geofenced.

    The Tether block is the sleeper of the episode. Not a serious industry: CZ's shirtless gym selfie printed the local bottom on BNB. Why nobody in the West talks about BNB (hint: our ethnocentric worldview). Tether as a private central bank — biggest buyer of gold in the world outside five government central banks, now accumulating land. The what-if: if the dollar hyperinflates, could a USDT de-peg actually be bullish? JTX on-chain limit orders don't get wicked past the way centralized limit orders do. BTCC as a no-VPN perps option. Circle sub-$80 is the buying zone, $68 target. Pirate Fest this weekend — dress-code Thursday.

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    1 hr and 23 mins