On a Monday night in December 1969, a congressman reached into a container of birthday capsules on live television. Within a few hours every man born from 1944 to 1950 knew his place in the draft order. June and Nate go back to that night: the fraternity houses watching together, the second drawing of the alphabet, and the number, 195, that turned out to be the line. Then they look at how the box was actually loaded, month by month, and why December birthdays kept drawing low numbers. The courts said the drawing was fair. The statisticians showed the risk wasn't equal. And research on who actually served suggests a young man's options could matter as much as his birth month. With automatic Selective Service registration due to start in December 2026, June and Nate ask what changed, what didn't, and which three questions to take to someone who was twenty that night. Sources: https://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAgendaViewRule?RIN=3240-AA09&pubId=202510 https://www.military.com/automatic-military-draft-registration-questions-arise-following-federal-rule-withdrawal https://historynet.com/live-from-dc-its-lottery-night-1969/ https://vietnamwardraftlottery.com/lottery-facts/ https://web.archive.org/web/20120915232321/http:/www.sss.gov/LOTTER8.HTM https://sites.oxy.edu/lengyel/M150/draftLottery/NYT.htm https://law.justia.com/cases/federal/appellate-courts/F2/465/976/290268/ https://conallboyle.com/lottery/05USmil_draft1970.pdf https://jhanley.biostat.mcgill.ca/Reprints/LestWeForgetUSSelectiveServiceLotteries1917-2019.pdf https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpv015 https://case-law.vlex.com/vid/united-states-v-kotrlik-893925626 https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.171.3968.306 https://www.wbur.org/hereandnow/2013/11/26/vietnam-animal-house https://law.yale.edu/sites/default/files/area/workshop/leo/document/Kuziemko.pdf https://econ.cms.arts.ubc.ca/wp-content/uploads/sites/38/2013/05/pdf_paper_thomas-lemieux-draft-avoidance-college.pdf https://business.columbia.edu/sites/default/files-efs/pubfiles/5798/vietnam.pdf https://economics.mit.edu/sites/default/files/publications/Angrist%201990%20-%20Lifetime%20Earnings%20and%20the%20Vietname%20.pdf https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w15105/w15105.pdf https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10691898.1997.11910534
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