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Publisher's Summary

In the 18th century, the British minister and mathematician Thomas Bayes devised a theorem that allowed him to assign probabilities to events that had never happened before. It languished in obscurity for centuries until computers came along and made it easy to crunch the numbers. Now, as the foundation of big data, Bayes's formula has become a linchpin of the digital economy. 

But here's where things get really interesting: Bayes's theorem can also be used to lay odds on the existence of extraterrestrial intelligence; on whether we live in a Matrix-like counterfeit of reality; on the "many worlds" interpretation of quantum theory being correct; and on the biggest question of all: how long will humanity survive? 

The Doomsday Calculation tells how Silicon Valley's profitable formula became a controversial pivot of contemporary thought. Drawing on interviews with thought leaders around the globe, it's the story of a group of intellectual mavericks who are challenging what we thought we knew about our place in the universe. The Doomsday Calculation is a must-listen for anyone interested in our culture and its future. 

PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio. 

©2019 William Poundstone (P)2019 Tantor

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  • The ghost of Mark Twain Jr. Jr. Jr.
  • 01-12-19

Finally an updated collection & we're all doomed.

Yes, some of this was made so the layperson would understand the basics....but after a few chapters it does delve deeper into nearly every aspect both old Copernican theories and of course those newer ones by Bostrom Gott and Tegmark.

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  • Paul Razvan
  • 21-02-21

Interesting and informative

Very interesting and informative book but not for the layman because some of the information is mathematical and a generic idea of physics, technology and mathematics is recommend to fully grasp the concepts of this awesome book.