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How to Find Investable Multifamily Distress (Without Chasing Fire Sales)

This episode explains why a distressed apartment building isn’t automatically a good investment and offers a practical framework for identifying investable multifamily distress. It contrasts headlines with data, noting refinancing pressure from maturing commercial debt, historically low delinquency rates across most capital sources, and that an 8.04% multifamily CMBS delinquency rate applies to CMBS rather than the entire market. The script outlines five signals to evaluate opportunities: a refinancing gap, verifiable financial distress, realistic operational upside, pricing based on disciplined underwriting and stress testing, and financing that still works under downside scenarios. It also covers five sourcing channels—loan/servicing data, brokers, property managers, public records, and direct-to-owner outreach—and a five-question investability screen, plus added sponsor diligence for passive investors.

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