Showing results by author "Dan Gardner" in All Categories

Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.

Nada é mais inspirador do que uma grande visão que se torna uma nova e triunfante realidade. Pense em como o Empire State Building passou de um esboço a uma joia no horizonte de Nova York em 21 meses, ou como o iPod da Apple passou de um projeto com um único funcionário a um lançamento de produto em onze meses. São histórias maravilhosas. Mas na maioria das vezes as grandes visões se transformam em pesadelos. Quase todas as grandes cidades do mundo têm um fiasco do tipo no seu quintal.

Lorsque Jimmy Wales a fondé Wikipédia il y a plus de vingt ans, il a bouleversé à jamais le paysage de la connaissance. Fruit de plusieurs décennies d'observation, ce livre révèle les principes fondamentaux qui ont permis la révolution du savoir. Il dévoile sept règles claires et concrètes pour (re)bâtir la confiance dans les affaires, le leadership et la vie en général.

Interviews with Traumatic Brain Injury Survivors, Family Members, and Treaters. Learn how to meet the challenges of TBI.

How to polish your psychotherapy skills, get risk-free practice, and fast ttrack your psychotherapy skill development using an AI-powered training copilot.

Welcome to The Jam with Brock and Dan, a podcast for music enthusiasts skaters, musicians, and anyone who has a great story to tell! This podcast is based in Fremont, Ohio. Our aim is to offer a space for outcasts to connect, and share their stories! Hosted by Brock and Dan, our podcast covers a fun mix of topics including music, skateboarding, movies, and life, providing engaging and hilarious content to our audience.

Welcome to The Jam with Brock and Dan, a podcast for music enthusiasts skaters, musicians, and anyone who has a great story to tell! This podcast is based in Fremont, Ohio. Our aim is to offer a space for outcasts to connect, and share their stories! Hosted by Brock and Dan, our podcast covers a fun mix of topics including music, skateboarding, movies, and life, providing engaging and hilarious content to our audience.